3669 notizie
Reports of the important recent IMF conference ‘Rethinking Macro Policy II: First Steps and Early Lessons’ suggest that it was refreshing and informative. What appears (from the reports) to have been largely overlooked at the conference, however, was a rethinking of the interrelationships and scope for improved coordination between monetary and fiscal policy. From a [...]
The eurozone has entered a vicious circle feeding on consolidation measures that weigh heavily on growth, hampering deficit reduction and requiring new adjustments to be made. Since the countries caught up in the crisis do not have the option of depreciating their currency, all they can rely on is structural reform to make their economies [...]
The global regulatory landscape governing banks has changed from its pre-crisis status quo. In addition to the Group of Twenty advanced and emerging economies led global regulatory reforms, like Basel III, the United States and the United Kingdom have decided to directly impose limits on the scope of banks’ businesses. The European Union is contemplating [...]
Last week, I posted the above chart from the NY Fed’s Liberty Street Economics. This morning on Squawk Box, David Tepper of Appaloosa discussed it — and his comments reversed the futures from negative to positive. Here is a brief explanation of what this chart — a compilation of 29 valuation models — means: The equity risk premium is [...]
Summary: Powerful interest groups provide a mirror in which we can see our true selves. Their well-funded expert opinion manipulators know our real hopes and fears, and manipulate them to mold public opinion. This is one of a long series of posts showing how both Left and Right have drawn the same conclusion, both sides [...]
On Friday, my colleague Julie Hotchkiss shared in this space the results of her new research (with Fernando Rios-Avila, a Georgia State University colleague) on the recent and prospective behavior of the labor force participation rate (LFPR). The punch line, from my point of view, is this: Our results suggest that relative to the average LFPR over the years [...]
What do you get when the largest developing country in the world is investing more and more in the world’s largest developed economy? Lots of question marks and a few deals. Chinese investment in the U.S. market is a hot topic. U.S. companies and entrepreneurs are trying to understand the best way to access Chinese [...]
In a surprising turn of events, the Fed announced this morning that it is ramping up its quantitative easing policy. As you know, it has been buying $85 Billion in bonds every month, boosting its balance sheet above $3.3 Trillion. However, that has had no perceptible impact on the economy, which is slipping back toward [...]
Libyan Oil Minister Abdel Bari Ali al-Arousi said his country was ready to recover from civil war and take its rightful place as the powerhouse of North African energy producers. In its monthly report for May, OPEC said that Libya’s economic recovery, despite lingering violence, was “exceptionally strong” with an 80 percent increase in gross [...]
So, apparently, according to Jon Hilsenrath, “QE to Infinity” is actually “finite” after all. With Ben Bernanke set to “exit stage left” in 2014 the question of who replaces him at the helm of the massive USS “Federal Reserve” will be important as to the future of the current course of monetary policy. One of the top contenders for that job is Janet Yellen. [...]
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